According to ESPN Research, the Bengals have a strong chance at a top 10 spot: “What's at stake: Both teams have been eliminated from playoff contention. The Bengals have 62% chance to land a top-10 pick in the draft, and the Dolphins have a 55% chance, according to ESPN Analytics.”

Six teams can realistically land the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL draft after Week 15. The New York Giants, Las Vegas Raiders and Tennessee Titans all sit at 2-12. New York is currently in possession of the top selection.

With just three games left in the NFL regular season, we have updated the over for the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 8-6 and hold the No. 20 overall pick. This is sure to change with the final three games as well as the playoffs.

A full look at the Dallas Cowboys' arsenal in the 2026 NFL draft and current first-round order entering Week 16.

For non-playoff teams, the draft order is determined by the inverted 2025 standings plus a series of tiebreakers, starting with strength of schedule. Playoff squads are slotted by their postseason outcome and the reverse order of their regular season record.

The Tennessee Titans remained outside the top two of the 2026 NFL draft projected order despite losing to the 49ers.

The NFL has seen 11 weeks of the season come and go. In the process, teams have emerged as contenders, others have sunk, and through it all, team needs have started to unfold as their front offices get ready for the NFL Draft that will be here before we know it.

The Titans lost their inside track at the No. 1 overall pick while the Giants gained ground on their bye week.